Table 4: Scenario A: Cost-effectiveness of palivizumab prophylaxis versus no prophylaxis in healthy term infants who were less than 6 months of age at the start of the 2009 RSV season or were born during the season per RSV-related hospital admission avoided
VariableNorthwest TerritoriesNunavutNunavut without IqaluitKitikmeot RegionKivalliq RegionQikiqtaaluk RegionQikiqtaaluk Region without IqaluitNunavik
Total births in 2009739816701114245457342250
Healthy newborns*679.9750.7644.9104.9225.4420.4314.6230
Estimated rate of RSV-related admission per 1000 population at risk†16.697.8111.6296.1112.740.349.4184.1
Base case: no prophylaxis, RSV-related admissions in healthy term infants admitted Jan. 1 to June 30, 2009
No. of RSV-related admissions852512218121130
Total cost of admissions, $177 2562 871 1372 856 5611 496 3651 094 603280 169265 593632 139
Scenario A: universal palivizumab prophylaxis for healthy term infants, with 96% risk reduction
No. of RSV-related admissions0.32.12.00.90.70.50.41.2
Total cost of admissions, $7090114 845114 26259 85543 78411 20710 62425 286
Estimated cost of palivizumab, $4 367 5554 822 3624 142 722673 8591 447 9292 700 5742 020 9341 477 479
Total cost (palivizumab + admissions), $4 374 6454 937 2074 256 984733 7141 491 7132 711 7812 031 5581 502 765
Scenario A v. base case
Incremental cost for RSV prophylaxis, $4 197 3892 066 0701 400 423-762 652397 1112 431 6111 765 965870 625
Incremental cases of RSV infection avoided7.749.949.021.117.311.510.628.8
ICER per RSV-related admission avoided, $545 11541 40428 580-36 14522 954211 444166 60030 230
NNT‡ to prevent 1 RSV-related admission62.710.79.33.59.225.821.15.7

Note: ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, NNT = number needed to treat, RSV = respiratory syncytial virus.

*Estimated to be 92% of all newborns.

†Admissions for RSV infection between Jan. 1 and June 30, 2009, with population at risk of healthy term infants born after July 1, 2008, to May 31, 2009.

‡1/absolute risk reduction. Absolute risk reduction was defined as the untreated admission RSV rate - ([1 - efficacy] × untreated RSV admission rate). Untreated admission rate = number of admissions with RSV in those not treated/population at risk.