Accounting for future costs in medical cost-effectiveness analysis

J Health Econ. 1997 Feb;16(1):33-64. doi: 10.1016/s0167-6296(96)00507-3.

Abstract

Most medical cost-effectiveness analyses include future costs only for related illnesses, but this approach is controversial. This paper demonstrates that cost-effectiveness analysis is consistent with lifetime utility maximization only if it includes all future medical and non-medical expenditures. Estimates of the magnitude of these future costs suggest that they may substantially alter both the absolute and relative cost-effectiveness of medical interventions, particularly when an intervention increases length of life more than quality of life. In older populations, current methods overstate the cost-effectiveness of interventions which extend life compared to interventions which improve the quality of life.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Cost-Benefit Analysis*
  • Health Care Costs / trends*
  • Health Care Rationing
  • Health Policy / economics
  • Health Services Research / economics
  • Health Services Research / methods*
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Quality-Adjusted Life Years
  • United States